The numbers are climbing, and the list of affected countries is growing. Counties in the Middle East and now European countries are starting to restrict movement, cancel major events, close borders, lock down cities, and quarantine people. Manufacturing in China is at a virtual standstill, and health care workers in affected areas are getting sick and dying. 6000+ people right here in the USA are on “Self Quarantine”. These people have returned from traveling in China and are self quarantined for 14 days. The United States now has quarantine centers in:
JB Pearl Harbor, HI
Great Lakes Training Center, IL
Naval Air Station Joint Reserve, TX
March AFB, CA
Travis AFB, CA
Dobbins AFB, GA
Ft. Hamilton, NY
Naval Base Kitsap, WA
Joint Base Anacostia, DC
JB McGuierre-Dix, NJ
Fort Custer Training Center, MI
Ft Carson, CO
University of Nebraska Omaha
Marietta, GA, and the latest addition is Anniston, AL
This is a huge escalation. From just a week ago.
SARS-CoV-2 is the name of the virus, not the disease that it causes.
COVID-19 is the name of the disease. (Coronavirus Disease 2019)
Epidemic: An epidemic is the rapid spread of infectious disease to a large number of people in a given population within a short period of time, usually two weeks or less.
Pandemic: A pandemic is an epidemic of disease that has spread across a large region; for instance multiple continents, or even worldwide. A widespread endemic disease that is stable in terms of how many people are getting sick from it is not a pandemic.
“We are still in a phase where containment is possible,” but he warned “our window of opportunity is narrowing.” Dr Tedros, World Health Organisation
Phase 1: no viruses circulating among animals have been reported to cause infections in humans.
Phase 2: an animal influenza virus circulating among domesticated or wild animals is known to have caused infection in humans, and is therefore considered a potential pandemic threat.
Phase 3: an animal or human-animal influenza reassortant virus has caused sporadic cases or small clusters of disease in people, but has not resulted in human-to-human transmission sufficient to sustain community-level outbreaks. Limited human-to-human transmission may occur under some circumstances, for example, when there is close contact between an infected person and an unprotected caregiver. However, limited transmission under such restricted circumstances does not indicate that the virus has gained the level of transmissibility among humans necessary to cause a pandemic.
Phase 4: is characterized by verified human-to-human transmission of an animal or human-animal influenza reassortant virus able to cause “community-level outbreaks”. The ability to cause sustained disease outbreaks in a community marks a significant upwards shift in the risk of a pandemic. Any country that suspects or has verified such an event should urgently consult with WHO so that the situation can be jointly assessed and a decision made by the affected country if implementation of a rapid pandemic containment operation is warranted. Phase 4 indicates a significant increase in risk of a pandemic but does not necessarily mean that a pandemic is a forgone conclusion.
Phase 5: is characterized by human-to-human spread of the virus into at least two countries in one WHO region. While most countries will not be affected at this stage, the declaration of Phase 5 is a strong signal that a pandemic is imminent and that the time to finalize the organization, communication, and implementation of the planned mitigation measures is short.
Phase 6: the pandemic phase, is characterized by community level outbreaks in at least one other country in a different WHO region in addition to the criteria defined in Phase 5. Designation of this phase will indicate that a global pandemic is under way. There is now community outbreak with no known origin and human to human spread in Iran and Italy which are 2 different regions. As you can see, this qualifies for declaration of GLOBAL PANDEMIC. This will probably be announced this week.
Go HERE to the US Gov Page on how to get ready for a pandemic. We NEED to get our little community prepared NOW.
News is moving so fast on this, it is difficult to keep up. As soon as I write something, the situation changes.
The next article will cover who is affected, incubation period, symptoms of the virus, and more information about what is happening around the world, and the supply chain disruptions that are going to occur. -JAP-